Chelsea
Home
vs
Prediction sealed
Brighton
AwayDixon-Coles forecast
Match probabilities
Home
44%
2.25 fair odds
Draw
26%
3.86 fair odds
Away
30%
3.36 fair odds
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.30
Chelsea · Brighton
The scorecard, once a week
Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.