Serie A Italy

Napoli

Home

vs Sun 30 Aug, 16:30 UTC Prediction sealed

Como

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 40% 2.49 fair odds

Draw 28% 3.54 fair odds

Away 32% 3.16 fair odds

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.10 Napoli · Como

Total goals 2.5 42% over 58% under · 2.37 fair odds

The scorecard, once a week

Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.