Eredivisie Netherlands

Telstar

Home

vs Sun 30 Aug, 14:45 UTC Prediction sealed

Ajax

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 27% 3.67 fair odds

Draw 26% 3.94 fair odds

Away 47% 2.11 fair odds

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.77 Telstar · Ajax

Total goals 2.5 59% over 41% under · 1.69 fair odds

The scorecard, once a week

Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.