Eredivisie Netherlands

Willem II

Home

vs Sun 30 Aug, 12:30 UTC Prediction sealed

Heerenveen

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 26% 3.76 fair odds

Draw 27% 3.74 fair odds

Away 47% 2.14 fair odds

Expected goals 1.19 – 1.64 Willem II · Heerenveen

Total goals 2.5 54% over 46% under · 1.87 fair odds

The scorecard, once a week

Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.