Aston Villa
Home
vs
Prediction sealed
Arsenal
AwayDixon-Coles forecast
Match probabilities
Home
22%
4.65 fair odds
Draw
26%
3.83 fair odds
Away
52%
1.91 fair odds
Expected goals
0.98 – 1.66
Aston Villa · Arsenal
The scorecard, once a week
Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.