Championship England

Lincoln

Home

vs Sat 05 Sep, 11:30 UTC Prediction sealed

Southampton

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 18% 5.66 fair odds

Draw 19% 5.17 fair odds

Away 63% 1.59 fair odds

Expected goals 1.22 – 2.40 Lincoln · Southampton

Total goals 2.5 70% over 30% under · 1.43 fair odds

Limited league history. Lincoln has almost no recent record in this division, so the prior pulls the rating towards league average.

The scorecard, once a week

Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.