Championship England

Swansea

Home

vs Sat 05 Sep, 19:00 UTC Prediction sealed

Wrexham

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 41% 2.42 fair odds

Draw 27% 3.78 fair odds

Away 32% 3.11 fair odds

Expected goals 1.50 – 1.29 Swansea · Wrexham

Total goals 2.5 53% over 47% under · 1.90 fair odds

The scorecard, once a week

Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.