Premier League England

Arsenal

Home

vs Sun 06 Sep, 15:30 UTC Prediction sealed

Chelsea

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 62% 1.61 fair odds

Draw 23% 4.39 fair odds

Away 15% 6.60 fair odds

Expected goals 1.94 – 0.86 Arsenal · Chelsea

Total goals 2.5

Over 53% 1.88 fair odds

Under 47% 2.13 fair odds

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded

01 2–0 11.5%

02 1–0 11.0%

03 1–1 10.9%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.