La Liga Spain

Getafe

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vs Mon 07 Sep, 17:00 UTC Prediction sealed

Celta

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities

Fair odds · no margin

Home 36% 2.75 fair odds

Draw 31% 3.23 fair odds

Away 33% 3.07 fair odds

Expected goals 1.03 – 0.96 Getafe · Celta

Total goals 2.5

Over 32% 3.13 fair odds

Under 68% 1.47 fair odds

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded

01 1–0 14.1%

02 0–0 13.7%

03 1–1 13.5%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.

The scorecard, once a week

Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.