England
Championship
England
Bolton
Home
vs
Prediction sealed
West Ham
AwayDixon-Coles forecast
Match probabilities
Home
46%
2.16 fair odds
Draw
27%
3.72 fair odds
Away
27%
3.72 fair odds
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.10
Bolton · West Ham
Total goals 2.5
Scoreline projection
Top 3 correct scores
01
1–1
12.8%
02
1–0
10.4%
03
2–1
9.2%
Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.
Limited league history. Bolton and West Ham have almost no recent record in this division, so the prior pulls the rating towards league average.
The scorecard, once a week
Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions. You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it flatters us.