ProofOdds
Belgium Jupiler Pro League Belgium

St. Gilloise

Home
vs Prediction sealed

Lommel SK

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities scored vs close

Fair odds · no margin

scored vs close means a public closing price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared with the market on the scorecard and can be shown to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.

Home 50% 2.00 fair odds
Draw 32% 3.12 fair odds
Away 18% 5.60 fair odds
Expected goals 1.20 0.60 St. Gilloise · Lommel SK
Total goals 2.5 scored vs close
Over 27% 3.74 fair odds
Under 73% 1.37 fair odds

Both teams to score

BTTS forecast only

Dixon–Coles
Yes32%3.13 fair odds
No68%1.47 fair odds

Quarter-line grid

Asian handicap scored vs close

Fair odds · pushes excluded
Home lineSt. GilloiseLommel SK
-3.0044.781.02
-2.7519.691.05
-2.5012.881.08
-2.2511.911.09
-2.0010.951.10
-1.756.061.20
-1.504.391.29
-1.253.791.36
-1.003.191.46
-0.752.371.73
-0.502.002.00
-0.251.682.48
+0.001.363.80
+0.251.274.70
+0.501.225.60
+0.751.148.32
+1.001.0619.04
+1.251.0520.50
+1.501.0521.96
+1.751.0336.54
+2.001.01117.79
+2.251.01120.07
+2.501.01122.36
+2.751.00213.91
+3.001.00867.89

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded
01 1–0 19.3%
02 0–0 17.3%
03 1–1 12.5%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.

Limited league history. Lommel SK has almost no recent record in this division, so the prior pulls the rating towards league average.