ProofOdds
Brazil Brasileirao Serie A Brazil

Atletico-MG

Home
vs Prediction sealed

Fluminense

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities scored vs close

Fair odds · no margin

scored vs close means a public closing price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared with the market on the scorecard and can be shown to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.

Home 43% 2.34 fair odds
Draw 28% 3.49 fair odds
Away 29% 3.48 fair odds
Expected goals 1.31 1.02 Atletico-MG · Fluminense
Total goals 2.5 forecast only
Over 41% 2.42 fair odds
Under 59% 1.70 fair odds

Both teams to score

BTTS forecast only

Dixon–Coles
Yes47%2.12 fair odds
No53%1.89 fair odds

Quarter-line grid

Asian handicap forecast only

Fair odds · pushes excluded
Home lineAtletico-MGFluminense
-3.0046.801.02
-2.7521.481.05
-2.5014.191.08
-2.2513.291.08
-2.0012.391.09
-1.756.991.17
-1.505.061.25
-1.254.481.29
-1.003.901.34
-0.752.841.54
-0.502.341.74
-0.252.011.99
+0.001.672.49
+0.251.502.98
+0.501.403.48
+0.751.284.60
+1.001.157.54
+1.251.148.36
+1.501.129.18
+1.751.0813.72
+2.001.0329.59
+2.251.0330.84
+2.501.0332.08
+2.751.0251.59
+3.001.01136.76

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded
01 1–1 13.4%
02 1–0 12.3%
03 0–0 10.1%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.