ProofOdds
Brazil Brasileirao Serie A Brazil

Coritiba

Home
vs Prediction sealed

Parana

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities scored vs close

Fair odds · no margin

scored vs close means a public closing price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared with the market on the scorecard and can be shown to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.

Home 47% 2.12 fair odds
Draw 27% 3.78 fair odds
Away 26% 3.78 fair odds
Expected goals 1.52 1.08 Coritiba · Parana
Total goals 2.5 forecast only
Over 48% 2.08 fair odds
Under 52% 1.93 fair odds

Both teams to score

BTTS forecast only

Dixon–Coles
Yes52%1.93 fair odds
No48%2.08 fair odds

Quarter-line grid

Asian handicap forecast only

Fair odds · pushes excluded
Home lineCoritibaParana
-3.0029.711.03
-2.7515.151.07
-2.5010.391.11
-2.259.641.12
-2.008.901.13
-1.755.521.22
-1.504.161.32
-1.253.681.37
-1.003.201.45
-0.752.491.67
-0.502.121.89
-0.251.842.19
+0.001.562.78
+0.251.443.28
+0.501.363.78
+0.751.255.02
+1.001.148.21
+1.251.129.00
+1.501.119.80
+1.751.0714.60
+2.001.0330.89
+2.251.0332.09
+2.501.0333.29
+2.751.0253.20
+3.001.01137.17

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded
01 1–1 12.6%
02 1–0 10.9%
03 2–1 9.3%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.

Limited league history. Parana has almost no recent record in this division, so the prior pulls the rating towards league average.