scored vs close means a public closing price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared with the market on the scorecard and can be shown to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.

Both teams to score

BTTS forecast only

Dixon–Coles

Yes46%2.16 fair odds

No54%1.86 fair odds

Quarter-line grid

Asian handicap scored vs close

Fair odds · pushes excluded

Home line	Watford	Stoke
-3.00	49.34	1.02
-2.75	22.32	1.05
-2.50	14.67	1.07
-2.25	13.75	1.08
-2.00	12.83	1.08
-1.75	7.15	1.16
-1.50	5.15	1.24
-1.25	4.56	1.28
-1.00	3.98	1.34
-0.75	2.88	1.53
-0.50	2.37	1.73
-0.25	2.02	1.98
+0.00	1.67	2.49
+0.25	1.50	3.02
+0.50	1.39	3.54
+0.75	1.27	4.70
+1.00	1.15	7.75
+1.25	1.13	8.58
+1.50	1.12	9.40
+1.75	1.08	14.13
+2.00	1.03	30.98
+2.25	1.03	32.26
+2.50	1.03	33.54
+2.75	1.02	54.18
+3.00	1.01	146.33

Experimental · HC/AC only

Corners Lab forecast only

Open lab

Expected corners5.6 – 4.610.1 total

Main total lineO 9.5 · 54%1.86 fair · Under 46%

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded

01 1–1 13.8%

02 1–0 12.4%

03 0–0 11.0%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.