scored vs close means a public closing
price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared
with the market on the scorecard and can be shown
to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark
exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as
an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.
Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.
The scorecard, once a week
Every Monday: how many matches we graded, our log loss, the closing
line's, and the gap between them. Nothing else — no picks, no promotions.
You are subscribing to a report card, and it arrives whether or not it
flatters us.
This page has not rebuilt for .
The daily job seals predictions and regrades results every three hours; when it
stops, this site keeps serving the last good build and everything on it silently
goes out of date. Rather than let it look current, the page says so itself. The
sealed ledger is unaffected — nothing in it depends on
this site being up.