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Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

PSV Eindhoven

Home
vs Prediction sealed

Sparta Rotterdam

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities scored vs close

Fair odds · no margin

scored vs close means a public closing price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared with the market on the scorecard and can be shown to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.

Home 81% 1.24 fair odds
Draw 12% 8.21 fair odds
Away 7% 14.41 fair odds
Expected goals 3.23 0.94 PSV Eindhoven · Sparta Rotterdam
Total goals 2.5 scored vs close
Over 79% 1.27 fair odds
Under 21% 4.67 fair odds

Both teams to score

BTTS forecast only

Dixon–Coles
Yes59%1.69 fair odds
No41%2.44 fair odds

Quarter-line grid

Asian handicap scored vs close

Fair odds · pushes excluded
Home linePSV EindhovenSparta Rotterdam
-3.003.161.46
-2.752.611.62
-2.502.291.78
-2.252.061.95
-2.001.832.21
-1.751.672.48
-1.501.572.76
-1.251.433.30
-1.001.304.33
-0.751.264.78
-0.501.245.23
-0.251.167.21
+0.001.0912.66
+0.251.0813.53
+0.501.0714.41
+0.751.0521.24
+1.001.0242.24
+1.251.0243.28
+1.501.0244.32
+1.751.0170.70
+2.001.01179.34
+2.251.01180.90
+2.501.01182.46
+2.751.00303.67
+3.001.00912.71

Experimental · HC/AC only

Corners Lab forecast only

Open lab
Expected corners8.6 3.011.6 total
Main total lineO 11.5 · 47%2.12 fair · Under 53%

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded
01 3–0 8.7%
02 3–1 8.2%
03 2–0 8.1%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.