ProofOdds
England Championship England

Lincoln

Home
vs Prediction sealed

Swansea

Away

Dixon-Coles forecast

Match probabilities scored vs close

Fair odds · no margin

scored vs close means a public closing price exists for this market in this division, so the forecast is compared with the market on the scorecard and can be shown to lose. forecast only means no free closing benchmark exists for it, so it is measured against guessing and is never presented as an edge claim. Both are sealed before kickoff and neither is ever rewritten.

Home 32% 3.17 fair odds
Draw 32% 3.09 fair odds
Away 36% 2.77 fair odds
Expected goals 0.96 1.05 Lincoln · Swansea
Total goals 2.5 scored vs close
Over 33% 3.06 fair odds
Under 67% 1.49 fair odds

Both teams to score

BTTS forecast only

Dixon–Coles
Yes41%2.44 fair odds
No59%1.69 fair odds

Quarter-line grid

Asian handicap scored vs close

Fair odds · pushes excluded
Home lineLincolnSwansea
-3.00137.371.01
-2.7549.921.02
-2.5030.801.03
-2.2529.491.04
-2.0028.171.04
-1.7512.731.09
-1.508.481.13
-1.257.641.15
-1.006.811.17
-0.754.161.32
-0.503.171.46
-0.252.661.60
+0.002.151.87
+0.251.762.32
+0.501.572.77
+0.751.403.52
+1.001.235.39
+1.251.196.14
+1.501.176.88
+1.751.1110.06
+2.001.0520.71
+2.251.0521.89
+2.501.0523.06
+2.751.0336.65
+3.001.0193.88

Scoreline projection

Top 3 correct scores

Indicative only · not graded
01 1–1 14.3%
02 0–0 14.2%
03 0–1 13.2%

Reconstructed from the expected goals and league low-score correction stored with the sealed prediction. Shown for curiosity; it is not part of the scorecard.

Limited league history. Lincoln has almost no recent record in this division, so the prior pulls the rating towards league average.